Uranium Demand Side (9/9/07)
The demand side finishes the bullish picture for uranium. The main catalyst is the move to green energy. Nuclear power plants have no carbon emissions. The growth of nuclear power is just beginning, but planned production is expected to greatly increase the demand for uranium.
Here is a list of the amount of power plants planned for production: U.S., 34; China, 40-plus; Russia, 42; S. Korea, 11; and many others. That is combined with the 448 nuclear power plants currently in production.
The end result of this is an annual rate of consumption currently running at 188 million pounds of U3 O8 per year, compared with an annual mine production of 100 million pounds of U3 O8 per year. The difference is made up in excess ore pilings and old Soviet warheads being converted into nuclear fuel.
For a brief snapshot of the market, last month, active supply (the amount of U3 O8 for sale) was approximately two million pounds. Active demand (buyers currently seeking uranium for shipment) was 4.4 million pounds. These buyers are the reason that the price of yellowcake has been getting bid up at such an extreme pace. And not all of these buyers were able to secure U3 O8 for shipment.
The uranium market is very transparent. This makes the supply and demand fundamentals extremely easy to read and interpret. Supply disruptions have increased the shortages of available uranium for delivery. Junior and intermediate miners are all racing to get production online, but the general public has trouble understanding the time and money it takes into turning these properties into profitable ventures. The use of nuclear energy as an alternative to carbon-based fuel sources has really set into place the emergences of a fantastic bull market.
There is going to be a very innovative way to play this market. In mid August a nuclear energy ETF was released here in the U.S. The ticker is NLR. It follows the DAXglobal Nuclear Energy Index. This is an ETF that invests in the following fields: uranium mining, uranium enrichment, uranium storage, nuclear power plant builders, nuclear fuel transportation, nuclear equipment and generation. This is really exciting stuff and its price will very likely jump, being that it is one of a kind here in the U.S. Given a good buy price, this one is a safe and potentially highly profitable way to play the uranium market.
« Uranium Supply Side (9/8/07) | Main | Gold and Silver have Started the 2nd Wave (9/10/07) »
